Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Porvenir W vs Lanus W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Olmos F.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Varela B.
88'

AI Match Summary

El Porvenir W in this Primera A Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Porvenir W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
El Porvenir W
28%
Draws
50%
Lanus W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lanus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lanus W at 0.5 per game, El Porvenir W at 0.
  • Lanus W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera A Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
El Porvenir W Clean Sheet 19%
Lanus W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Porvenir W Lanus W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2023 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Lanus W
0:3
Jun 19, 2023 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Lanus W
2:1
Sep 5, 2022 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Lanus W
0:0
Oct 17, 2021 Primera A Women
Lanus W vs El Porvenir W
3:0
Jun 11, 2021 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Lanus W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Porvenir W Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Lanus W Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Porvenir W 24 / 100
Lanus W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Porvenir W Lanus W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanus W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

El Porvenir W scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

El Porvenir W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Porvenir W VS Lanus W
0 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Porvenir W

(Home)
30 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 3
Lanus W
26 Nov
Boca Juniors W
3 : 0
El Porvenir W
13 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 0
Huracan W
17 Oct
Excursionistas W
1 : 0
El Porvenir W
09 Oct
CA Estudiantes W
1 : 2
El Porvenir W
Page 1 of 6

Lanus W

(Away)
12 Jul
Talleres Cordoba W
1 : 1
Lanus W
08 Jul
Lanus W
0 : 1
Ferro W
05 Jul
Boca Juniors W
1 : 0
Lanus W
27 Jun
Social Atletico Television W
0 : 2
Lanus W
20 Jun
Lanus W
1 : 1
San Luis W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Juniors W19153143:748
2UAI Urquiza W19153142:848
3Rosario Central W19134232:843
4River Plate W19113529:1536
5Platense W19105424:1835
6Racing Club W19101827:1631
7CA Independiente W1993723:1630
8San Lorenzo W1985626:2229
9CA Belgrano de Cordoba W1991926:1828
10Huracan W1969416:1527
11Excursionistas W1966720:2624
12CA Banfield W19721017:2223
13Gimnasia L.P. W1957720:2022
14Social Atletico Television W1957718:2422
15CA Estudiantes W19631023:2921
16Ferro W19621120:2520
17Estudiantes L.P. W19361014:3215
18El Porvenir W19431216:4215
19Defensores de Belgrano W1922158:468
20Lanus W19211610:457
Promotion - Primera A Women 2023 (Additional match)