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El Salvador vs Suriname

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Cuscatlán
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Balker R.
Assist: Paal K.
29'
Gil B.
40'
Gil B.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between El Salvador and Suriname finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suriname.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
El Salvador
40%
Draws
29%
Suriname
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • El Salvador carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 15%
Suriname Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Salvador Suriname
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 World Championship
Suriname vs El Salvador
4:0
Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
El Salvador vs Suriname
1:2
Jun 11, 2025 World Championship
El Salvador vs Suriname
1:1
Nov 16, 2011 World Championship
El Salvador vs Suriname
4:0
Nov 11, 2011 World Championship
Suriname vs El Salvador
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Salvador Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Suriname Compare

Top Goalscorer Balker R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Klas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Salvador 31 / 100
Suriname 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Salvador Suriname

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: El Salvador scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Suriname has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: El Salvador remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

El Salvador VS Suriname
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama63309:412
2Suriname62319:69
3Guatemala62228:78
4El Salvador61052:113
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao633013:312
2Jamaica632111:311
3Trinidad & Tobago61417:67
4Bermuda60154:231
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti63219:611
2Honduras62315:29
3Costa Rica61418:67
4Nicaragua61144:124