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El Salvador W vs Nicaragua W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Flores Y.
25' Event
Sanchez V.
35' Event
Ceren B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

El Salvador W in this Gold Cup Women tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
El Salvador W
11%
Draws
80%
Nicaragua W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nicaragua W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Salvador W lately — more wins on the board than Nicaragua W.
  • Win probability leans Nicaragua W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • El Salvador W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nicaragua W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
El Salvador W Clean Sheet 10%
Nicaragua W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Salvador W Nicaragua W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 3.5 3.83
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 3.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2023 Gold Cup Women
El Salvador W vs Nicaragua W
4:1
Sep 21, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Nicaragua W vs El Salvador W
0:3
Apr 11, 2021 Friendly International Women
El Salvador W vs Nicaragua W
1:3
Apr 8, 2021 Friendly International Women
El Salvador W vs Nicaragua W
0:2
Oct 6, 2019 Olympic Games Women
El Salvador W vs Nicaragua W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Salvador W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Nicaragua W Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.48
Avg xA / game 2.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Salvador W 10 / 100
Nicaragua W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Salvador W Nicaragua W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Salvador W scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: El Salvador W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Nicaragua W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

El Salvador W VS Nicaragua W
3.5 Goals Scored 3.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

El Salvador W

(Home)
09 Jun
Guatemala W
1 : 5
El Salvador W
06 Jun
El Salvador W
1 : 1
Costa Rica W
17 Apr
Trinidad & Tobago W
0 : 2
El Salvador W
07 Mar
Peru W
0 : 1
El Salvador W
04 Mar
Peru W
0 : 4
El Salvador W
Page 1 of 6

Nicaragua W

(Away)
19 Apr
Nicaragua W
14 : 0
Dominica W
03 Mar
Nicaragua W
2 : 3
Jamaica W
02 Dec
Guyana W
1 : 3
Nicaragua W
27 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda W
0 : 4
Nicaragua W
29 Oct
Guatemala W
4 : 0
Nicaragua W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guyana W650120:215
2Suriname W640217:212
3Antigua and Barbuda W61143:84
4Dominica W61142:304
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador W660024:218
2Martinique W62137:157
3Nicaragua W61235:115
4Honduras W61145:134
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic W650124:315
2Bermuda W641114:513
3Barbados W611411:194
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W61054:263
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)