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El Salvador W vs Nicaragua W

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Friendly International Women 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Salvador W play Nicaragua W in the Friendly International Women 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, El Salvador W averaged 2.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Nicaragua W averaged 2.45 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, El Salvador W won 2, Nicaragua W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 3, 2023 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for El Salvador W and 2.13 for Nicaragua W. This points to a El Salvador W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
El Salvador W
15%
Draws
37%
Nicaragua W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Salvador W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • El Salvador W picked up more points recently compared to Nicaragua W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
El Salvador W Clean Sheet 10%
Nicaragua W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Salvador W Nicaragua W
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 21 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.71 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2023 Gold Cup Women
El Salvador W vs Nicaragua W
4:1
Sep 21, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Nicaragua W vs El Salvador W
0:3
Apr 11, 2021 Friendly International Women
El Salvador W vs Nicaragua W
1:3
Apr 8, 2021 Friendly International Women
El Salvador W vs Nicaragua W
0:2
Oct 6, 2019 Olympic Games Women
El Salvador W vs Nicaragua W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Salvador W 45 / 100
Nicaragua W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Salvador W Nicaragua W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: El Salvador W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

El Salvador W attacking → ← attacking Nicaragua W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Salvador W scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Nicaragua W let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

El Salvador W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nicaragua W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 47
3.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00