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Elana Torun vs Luzino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Woroniecki K.
84' Event
Roznowski M.
89' Event
Krefft J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Elana Torun and Luzino finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elana Torun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Elana Torun
20%
Draws
48%
Luzino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luzino come out ahead of Elana Torun on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Elana Torun here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Luzino Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elana Torun Luzino
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 20
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.55 2.31
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Luzino
3:1
Apr 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Elana Torun
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Luzino
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Luzino
3:0
Sep 16, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Elana Torun
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elana Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Woroniecki K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roznowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Krefft J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elana Torun 30 / 100
Luzino 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elana Torun Luzino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elana Torun scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Luzino let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Elana Torun stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elana Torun VS Luzino
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Elana Torun

(Home)
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
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Luzino

(Away)
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4
Luzino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)