Sport Picks
Elana Torun vs Notec Czarnkow Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Szulc H.
24'
24'
Szulc H.
29'
29'
Szulc H.
AI Match Summary
Notec Czarnkow in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notec Czarnkow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Notec Czarnkow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Notec Czarnkow have won more games recently than Elana Torun.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elana Torun | Notec Czarnkow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Elana Torun
3:1
May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Notec Czarnkow
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Elana Torun
0:1
May 1, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Notec Czarnkow
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Elana Torun
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elana Torun Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Notec Czarnkow Compare
Top Goalscorer Szulc H.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elana Torun 30 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elana Torun Notec Czarnkow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Notec Czarnkow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Elana Torun scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Notec Czarnkow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Away concern: Notec Czarnkow has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Elana Torun VS Notec Czarnkow
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Elana Torun
(Home) 26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2 Wda Swiecie
29 Aug
KKS Kalisz
5 : 1 Elana Torun
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2 Wda Swiecie
19 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
08 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
01 Aug
Elana Torun
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 4
Notec Czarnkow
(Away) 26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0 Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
28 Aug
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0 Notec Czarnkow
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
28 Aug
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
19 Aug
KKS Kalisz
0 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
14 Aug
Unia Swarzedz
0 : 3 Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
