Sport Picks
Elana Torun vs Swinoujscie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
88'
88'
Korpalski A.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Elana Torun and Swinoujscie finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elana Torun.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Elana Torun
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Swinoujscie have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Elana Torun are scoring more at 1.7.
- Win probability leans Elana Torun's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elana Torun | Swinoujscie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Swinoujscie
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Elana Torun
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Swinoujscie
3:2
Mar 1, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Swinoujscie
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Elana Torun
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elana Torun Compare
Top Goalscorer Korpalski A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Swinoujscie Compare
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elana Torun 83 / 100
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elana Torun Swinoujscie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elana Torun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Elana Torun scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.
Swinoujscie let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Elana Torun went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Elana Torun VS Swinoujscie
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Elana Torun
(Home) 03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1 Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2 Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1 Luzino
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2 Wda Swiecie
19 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
08 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 5
Swinoujscie
(Away) 03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3 Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3 Swinoujscie
22 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 Swinoujscie
15 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 2 Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 33:16 | 27 |
| 2 | Luzino | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27:19 | 18 |
| 5 | Wda Swiecie | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 6 | KKS Kalisz | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Swinoujscie | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzedz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 12 | Grom Nowy Staw | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 28:28 | 13 |
| 13 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Gedania Gdansk | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 23:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Elana Torun | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 16 | Kotwica Kornik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18:32 | 10 |
| 17 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
