Sport Picks
Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
26'
26'
Slowinski W.
31'
31'
Roznowski M.
45'
45'
Woroniecki K.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Unia Swarzedz in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unia Swarzedz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Unia Swarzedz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Unia Swarzedz have won more games recently than Elana Torun.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 13%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elana Torun | Unia Swarzedz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz
2:3
May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz
0:4
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Elana Torun
0:1
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Elana Torun
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elana Torun Compare
Top Goalscorer Roznowski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Unia Swarzedz Compare
Top Goalscorer Slowinski W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Piotrowski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elana Torun 35 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elana Torun Unia Swarzedz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elana Torun found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Unia Swarzedz conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Unia Swarzedz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Elana Torun VS Unia Swarzedz
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Elana Torun
(Home) 26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2 Wda Swiecie
29 Aug
KKS Kalisz
5 : 1 Elana Torun
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2 Wda Swiecie
19 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
08 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
01 Aug
Elana Torun
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 4
Unia Swarzedz
(Away) 26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3 Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
28 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
28 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
19 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
09 Aug
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luzino | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | 25 |
| 2 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 29:16 | 24 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Wda Swiecie | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 18 |
| 5 | KKS Kalisz | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Blekitni Stargard | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:19 | 15 |
| 7 | Lech Poznan II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 9 | Grom Nowy Staw | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 27:25 | 13 |
| 10 | Notec Czarnkow | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 13 |
| 11 | Baltyk Koszalin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | 12 |
| 12 | Gedania Gdansk | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Unia Swarzedz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Kotwica Kornik | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:25 | 10 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Elana Torun | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:23 | 7 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:22 | 5 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
