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Stadium Background

Elana Torun vs Wda Swiecie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Roznowski M.
83' Event
Nawrocki J.
90' Event
Retlewski D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Elana Torun and Wda Swiecie finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wda Swiecie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Elana Torun
30%
Draws
23%
Wda Swiecie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Elana Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wda Swiecie come out ahead of Elana Torun on wins alone.
  • Model gives Elana Torun a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elana Torun Wda Swiecie
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Wda Swiecie
1:2
Apr 3, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Wda Swiecie
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Elana Torun
2:5
Apr 11, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Elana Torun
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Wda Swiecie
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elana Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Roznowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wda Swiecie Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawrocki J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Retlewski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elana Torun 83 / 100
Wda Swiecie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elana Torun Wda Swiecie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elana Torun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wda Swiecie let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Elana Torun found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Elana Torun remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elana Torun VS Wda Swiecie
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elana Torun

(Home)
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
Page 1 of 6

Wda Swiecie

(Away)
10 Oct
Luzino
3 : 0
Wda Swiecie
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2
Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)