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Elassona vs Thesprotos Prediction & H2H Stats

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Elassona Logo

Elassona

3 - 1
FT
Thesprotos Logo

Thesprotos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elassona in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elassona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Elassona
15%
Draws
0%
Thesprotos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elassona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Thesprotos haven't matched Elassona's recent run of results.
  • Elassona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Elassona Clean Sheet 20%
Thesprotos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elassona Thesprotos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 6 24
Goals Scored 1.3 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Thesprotos vs Elassona
0:3
Oct 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Thesprotos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elassona 85 / 100
Thesprotos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elassona Thesprotos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elassona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elassona scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Thesprotos let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Thesprotos's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Elassona VS Thesprotos
1 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elassona

(Home)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

Thesprotos

(Away)
01 Mar
Lamia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
21 Feb
Thesprotos
0 : 3
Lefkimmi
15 Feb
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Thesprotos
11 Feb
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Thesprotos
01 Feb
Nea Selefkia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)