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Elazigspor vs Aliaga Prediction & H2H Stats

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2. Lig White Group Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu, Elazığ
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ornek M.
Assist: Pak A.
19' Event
Ornek M.
36' Event
Ruzgar K.
Assist: Ornek M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group game between Elazigspor and Aliaga finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elazigspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Elazigspor
15%
Draws
40%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elazigspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Aliaga haven't matched Elazigspor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Elazigspor a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Elazigspor Clean Sheet 20%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elazigspor Aliaga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.17 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Elazigspor vs Aliaga
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elazigspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ornek M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruzgar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Aliaga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elazigspor 85 / 100
Aliaga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elazigspor Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elazigspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Elazigspor's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aliaga has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Elazigspor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elazigspor VS Aliaga
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elazigspor

(Home)
27 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
0 : 0
Elazigspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
12 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 2
Elazigspor
06 Sept
Elazigspor
3 : 1
Sebat Spor Kulubu
10 May
Muglaspor
1 : 0
Elazigspor
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Aliaga

(Away)
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
04 May
Musspor
1 : 0
Aliaga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elazigspor 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 Musspor 4 3 1 0 14:7 10
3 Aliaga 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
4 Guzide Gebzespor 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Corluspor 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
6 Erbaaspor 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
7 Inegol Kafkas 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
8 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
9 Menemenspor 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
10 Aksaray Bld. 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
11 Sanliurfaspor 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
12 Isparta 32 Spor 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
13 Ankaraspor 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
14 Sebat Spor Kulubu 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
15 Arnavutkoy Bl. 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
16 Kastamonuspor 4 1 0 3 2:12 0
17 Hatayspor 4 1 1 2 2:3 -2
18 Adanademirspor 4 1 1 2 3:7 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)