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Elazigspor vs Arnavutkoy Bl. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu, Elazığ
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elazigspor host Arnavutkoy Bl. in the 2. Lig White Group. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Arnavutkoy Bl. have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Elazigspor have conceded 0.97 and scored 2.17. Past meetings favor Elazigspor slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.88 - 0.63) back Elazigspor to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Elazigspor
15%
Draws
0%
Arnavutkoy Bl.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elazigspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elazigspor lately — more wins on the board than Arnavutkoy Bl..
  • Win probability leans Elazigspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Elazigspor Clean Sheet 20%
Arnavutkoy Bl. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elazigspor Arnavutkoy Bl.
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Elazigspor
0:3
Oct 20, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Elazigspor vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
5:0
Apr 24, 2022 3. Lig Group 1
Elazigspor vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
2:1
Dec 5, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Elazigspor
2:0
Sep 28, 2021 Turkish Cup
Elazigspor vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elazigspor 85 / 100
Arnavutkoy Bl. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elazigspor Arnavutkoy Bl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elazigspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elazigspor scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Arnavutkoy Bl.'s recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Elazigspor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elazigspor VS Arnavutkoy Bl.
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Elazigspor

(Home)
04 Oct
Elazigspor
2 : 3
Corluspor
27 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
0 : 0
Elazigspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
12 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 2
Elazigspor
06 Sept
Elazigspor
3 : 1
Sebat Spor Kulubu
Page 1 of 6

Arnavutkoy Bl.

(Away)
04 Oct
Kastamonuspor
2 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
19 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
0 : 2
Corluspor
12 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
1 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 5 4 1 0 15:7 13
2 Aliaga 5 4 0 1 12:9 12
3 Elazigspor 5 3 1 1 12:4 10
4 Corluspor 5 3 1 1 11:5 10
5 Guzide Gebzespor 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
6 Menemenspor 5 3 0 2 7:7 9
7 Inegol Kafkas 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
8 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
9 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
10 Isparta 32 Spor 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Sanliurfaspor 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Ankaraspor 5 2 0 3 3:6 6
13 Aksaray Bld. 5 1 2 2 9:8 5
14 Kastamonuspor 5 2 0 3 4:13 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 5 0 0 5 2:11 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3 2:4 -2
18 Adanademirspor 5 1 1 3 3:9 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)