Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2023/2024 Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu

Hacettepe 1945

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elazigspor play Hacettepe 1945 in the 3. Lig Group 2 2023/2024. Elazigspor are favorites here. Recently, Elazigspor averaged 2.22 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Hacettepe 1945 averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Elazigspor won 3, Hacettepe 1945 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Elazigspor and 0.75 for Hacettepe 1945. This points to a Elazigspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Elazigspor

15%

Draws

26%

Hacettepe 1945

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elazigspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Elazigspor picked up more points recently compared to Hacettepe 1945.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Elazigspor Clean Sheet 27%

Hacettepe 1945 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Elazigspor	Hacettepe 1945
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	23	9
Draws	5	5
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	2.22	0.93
Goals Conceded	0.89	1.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 3. Lig Group 2

Hacettepe 1945 vs Elazigspor

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Dec 3, 2023 3. Lig Group 2

Elazigspor vs Hacettepe 1945

Possession: 40% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Apr 29, 2023 3. Lig Group 1

Hacettepe 1945 vs Elazigspor

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Nov 27, 2022 3. Lig Group 1

Elazigspor vs Hacettepe 1945

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elazigspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Simsek B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yasak C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Hacettepe 1945 Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elazigspor 59 / 100

Hacettepe 1945 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Elazigspor Hacettepe 1945

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elazigspor Win (1)

Secondary Pick Elazigspor & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.6%

1.96

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Elazigspor attacking → ← attacking Hacettepe 1945

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elazigspor scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Hacettepe 1945 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Elazigspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hacettepe 1945 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

74 Points in last 5 32

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Batman Petrolspor	28	17	9	2	54:19	60
2	Elazigspor	28	16	10	2	41:20	58
3	Karsiyaka	28	17	4	7	57:33	55
4	Turgutlu	28	14	5	9	42:35	47
5	Soke 1970	28	13	8	7	41:38	47
6	Eskisehir Anadolu	28	11	6	11	34:33	39
7	Silifke	28	10	4	14	29:39	34
8	Pazarspor	28	9	6	13	28:33	33
9	Amasyaspor	28	8	9	11	26:32	33
10	Bulvarspor	28	8	9	11	26:31	33
11	Ergene Velimese	28	8	8	12	29:35	32
12	Kelkit Bld.	28	8	7	13	28:35	31
13	Hacettepe 1945	28	8	5	15	25:32	29
14	Eynesil	28	8	3	17	23:49	24
15	Sapanca Genclikspor	28	6	5	17	30:49	20