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Elche vs Al Ain

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Febas A.
11' Event
Rahimi S.
18' Event
Jasic A.

AI Match Summary

Al Ain in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Elche
35%
Draws
31%
Al Ain
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ain lately — more wins on the board than Elche.
  • Win probability leans Elche's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Elche Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elche Al Ain
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.53 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Elche vs Al Ain
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Elche vs Al Ain
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elche Compare

Top Goalscorer Febas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Ghezouani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Ain Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahimi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jasic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elche 40 / 100
Al Ain 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elche Al Ain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elche found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Elche stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Ain let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Elche VS Al Ain
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Elche

(Home)
08 Aug
Elche
3 : 0
Toulouse
31 Jul
Elche
2 : 2
Cordoba
28 Jul
Elche
2 : 2
Al Ain
24 Jul
Elche
0 : 0
Johor DT
18 Jul
Elche
2 : 1
Kaizer Chiefs
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Al Ain

(Away)
08 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 2
Al Ain
05 Aug
Al Ain
0 : 1
Toulouse
02 Aug
Al Ain
1 : 1
Al Diriyah
28 Jul
Elche
2 : 2
Al Ain
22 May
Al Jazira
1 : 4
Al Ain
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