Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Diomande Y.
25'
25'
Dituro M.
Own Goal
31'
31'
Aguado M.
AI Match Summary
Real Madrid in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Madrid.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Madrid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Real Madrid lately — more wins on the board than Elche.
- Win probability leans Real Madrid's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Real Madrid have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Elche Clean Sheet 10%
Real Madrid Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elche | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 LaLiga
Elche vs Real Madrid
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Elche
4:1
Nov 23, 2025 LaLiga
Elche vs Real Madrid
2:2
Feb 15, 2023 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Elche
4:0
Oct 19, 2022 LaLiga
Elche vs Real Madrid
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elche Compare
Top Goalscorer Osorio A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nino F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Real Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbappe K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Espi C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elche 10 / 100
Real Madrid 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elche Real Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elche scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Real Madrid let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Elche has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Elche VS Real Madrid
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Elche
(Home) 18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3 Elche
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Madrid
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2 Elche
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Madrid
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
23 Aug
Elche
0 : 5 Barcelona
08 Aug
Elche
3 : 0 Toulouse
31 Jul
Elche
2 : 2 Cordoba
Page 1 of 4
Real Madrid
(Away) 15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Madrid
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
08 Sept
Real Madrid
2 : 1 Inter
04 Sept
Betis
1 : 0 Real Madrid
30 Aug
Real Madrid
4 : 0 Malaga
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Madrid
04 Sept
Betis
1 : 0 Real Madrid
22 Aug
Espanyol
1 : 2 Real Madrid
16 Aug
Schalke
0 : 3 Real Madrid
12 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1 Real Madrid
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Betis | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Espanyol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Ath Bilbao | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 7 |
| 14 | Villarreal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 16 | Getafe | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 18 | Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | 4 |
| 19 | Malaga | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 20 | Elche | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
