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Elche vs Toulouse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Valera G.
83' Event
Diangana G.
90' Event
Nino F.

AI Match Summary

Elche in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Elche
35%
Draws
25%
Toulouse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Elche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elche lately — more wins on the board than Toulouse.
  • Model gives Elche a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Elche Clean Sheet 16%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elche Toulouse
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Elche vs Toulouse
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elche Compare

Top Goalscorer Valera G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diangana G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Toulouse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elche 57 / 100
Toulouse 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elche Toulouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elche Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulouse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Elche scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Elche remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elche VS Toulouse
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Elche

(Home)
01 Nov
Elche
0 : 1
Valencia
27 Oct
Pinatar
1 : 3
Elche
24 Oct
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 3
Elche
17 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 0
Elche
11 Oct
Elche
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
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Toulouse

(Away)
01 Nov
Marseille
2 : 0
Toulouse
25 Oct
Toulouse
0 : 0
Troyes
16 Oct
Le Mans
0 : 3
Toulouse
10 Oct
Monaco
2 : 2
Toulouse
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
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