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Elche vs Toulouse

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Valera G.
83' Event
Diangana G.
90' Event
Nino F.

AI Match Summary

Elche in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Elche
35%
Draws
28%
Toulouse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Elche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toulouse lately — more wins on the board than Elche.
  • Model gives Elche a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Elche Clean Sheet 20%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elche Toulouse
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Elche vs Toulouse
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elche Compare

Top Goalscorer Valera G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diangana G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Toulouse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elche 67 / 100
Toulouse 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elche Toulouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elche Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elche's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Elche went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Toulouse conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Elche VS Toulouse
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elche

(Home)
08 Aug
Elche
3 : 0
Toulouse
31 Jul
Elche
2 : 2
Cordoba
28 Jul
Elche
2 : 2
Al Ain
24 Jul
Elche
0 : 0
Johor DT
18 Jul
Elche
2 : 1
Kaizer Chiefs
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Toulouse

(Away)
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2
Hamburger
08 Aug
Elche
3 : 0
Toulouse
05 Aug
Al Ain
0 : 1
Toulouse
31 Jul
Toulouse
2 : 1
Real Sociedad
25 Jul
Toulouse
1 : 1
Rodez
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