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Eldense vs Eibar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Magunazelaia Argoitia J.
Assist: Garrido A.
30'
Nieto M.
46'
Sub
Bernat J. In: Arana M.
Out: Bernat J.

AI Match Summary

Eibar in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eibar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Eldense
20%
Draws
29%
Eibar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eldense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Eibar have won more games recently than Eldense.
  • Eldense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Eibar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Eldense Clean Sheet 68%
Eibar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eldense Eibar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 LaLiga2
Eldense vs Eibar
1:2
Jan 13, 2025 LaLiga2
Eldense vs Eibar
1:3
Oct 12, 2024 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Eldense
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Eldense
5:1
Aug 28, 2023 LaLiga2
Eldense vs Eibar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Eibar Compare

Top Goalscorer Magunazelaia Argoitia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gil I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eldense 59 / 100
Eibar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eldense Eibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eldense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Eldense's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Eldense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Eibar let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eldense VS Eibar
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eldense

(Home)
01 Nov
Eldense
0 : 2
Granada CF
29 Oct
Baleares
0 : 1
Eldense
25 Oct
Albacete
2 : 0
Eldense
18 Oct
Valladolid
2 : 3
Eldense
10 Oct
Eldense
2 : 1
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

Eibar

(Away)
31 Oct
Eibar
1 : 1
Almeria
24 Oct
Cordoba
2 : 0
Eibar
17 Oct
Eibar
1 : 1
Mallorca
12 Oct
Real Oviedo
3 : 1
Eibar
03 Oct
Albacete
1 : 3
Eibar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 12 8 3 1 23:5 27
2 Almeria 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
3 Eibar 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Granada CF 12 7 2 3 20:14 23
5 Mallorca 12 6 4 2 15:7 22
6 Gijon 12 7 1 4 13:13 22
7 Girona 12 6 3 3 22:11 21
8 Burgos CF 12 6 3 3 17:13 21
9 Real Oviedo 12 5 3 4 17:15 18
10 Sabadell 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
11 Las Palmas 12 5 2 5 17:21 17
12 Cordoba 12 5 1 6 19:22 16
13 Valladolid 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
14 Tenerife 12 3 6 3 15:17 15
15 Eldense 12 4 2 6 13:17 14
16 Celta Vigo B 12 3 4 5 18:23 13
17 Leganes 12 3 3 6 10:20 12
18 FC Andorra 12 3 2 7 17:22 11
19 Real Sociedad B 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
20 Cadiz 12 2 4 6 15:16 10
21 Albacete 12 2 1 9 10:23 7
22 AD Ceuta 12 1 2 9 10:27 5
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