Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eldense vs Eibar

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Magunazelaia Argoitia J.
Assist: Garrido A.
30'
Nieto M.
46'
Sub
Bernat J. In: Arana M.
Out: Bernat J.

AI Match Summary

Eibar in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eibar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Eldense
20%
Draws
60%
Eibar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eibar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Eibar have won more games recently than Eldense.
  • Eibar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Eibar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Eldense Clean Sheet 11%
Eibar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eldense Eibar
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 LaLiga2
Eldense vs Eibar
1:2
Jan 13, 2025 LaLiga2
Eldense vs Eibar
1:3
Oct 12, 2024 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Eldense
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Eldense
5:1
Aug 28, 2023 LaLiga2
Eldense vs Eibar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Eibar Compare

Top Goalscorer Magunazelaia Argoitia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gil I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eldense 10 / 100
Eibar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eldense Eibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Eldense's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Eldense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Eibar let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eldense VS Eibar
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eldense

(Home)
19 Sept
Eldense
1 : 2
Eibar
13 Sept
Gijon
0 : 1
Eldense
05 Sept
Eldense
0 : 0
Mallorca
29 Aug
Leganes
1 : 0
Eldense
22 Aug
Eldense
2 : 2
Cadiz
Page 1 of 7

Eibar

(Away)
19 Sept
Eldense
1 : 2
Eibar
14 Sept
Celta Vigo B
0 : 4
Eibar
06 Sept
Eibar
3 : 0
Granada CF
30 Aug
FC Andorra
0 : 1
Eibar
23 Aug
Eibar
1 : 0
Valladolid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 8:2 13
4 Girona 6 3 1 2 12:8 10
5 Las Palmas 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
6 Gijon 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
7 Tenerife 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
8 Almeria 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
9 Real Oviedo 5 2 2 1 4:1 8
10 Burgos CF 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
11 Real Sociedad B 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
12 Granada CF 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
13 Sabadell 5 2 2 1 4:4 8
14 Leganes 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
15 Celta Vigo B 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
16 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
17 Eldense 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
18 Valladolid 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
19 Cadiz 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
20 FC Andorra 6 1 0 5 9:13 3
21 Albacete 6 0 1 5 4:10 1
22 AD Ceuta 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
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