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Eldense vs Mislata

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2010/2011 game between Eldense and Mislata finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Eldense
20%
Draws
16%
Mislata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eldense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Eldense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Eldense a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Eldense Clean Sheet 20%
Mislata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eldense Mislata
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.61 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Mislata vs Eldense
2:0
Oct 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Mislata
2:1
Jan 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Mislata
0:0
Sep 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Mislata vs Eldense
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eldense 85 / 100
Mislata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eldense Mislata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eldense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eldense scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Mislata conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Mislata has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eldense VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eldense

(Home)
22 Aug
Eldense
2 : 2
Cadiz
17 Aug
Almeria
3 : 0
Eldense
11 Aug
Eldense
3 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
07 Aug
Albacete
1 : 0
Eldense
04 Aug
Eldense
1 : 3
Villarreal B
Page 1 of 7

Mislata

(Away)
13 May
Torrevieja
3 : 0
Mislata
06 May
Mislata
3 : 4
Muro
28 Apr
Espanol de San Vicente
2 : 0
Mislata
22 Apr
Mislata
1 : 1
Novelda CF
15 Apr
La Nucia
5 : 0
Mislata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valencia B 38 25 11 2 83:28 86
2 Olimpic Xativa 38 21 10 7 52:30 73
3 Novelda CF 38 20 8 10 62:46 68
4 La Nucia 38 18 12 8 48:35 66
5 Borriol 38 19 9 10 61:35 66
6 Villarreal C 38 19 7 12 75:53 64
7 Crevillente 38 15 9 14 43:43 54
8 Catarroja CF 38 13 11 14 35:32 50
9 Torrellano Illice CF 38 14 8 16 52:44 50
10 UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo 38 12 11 15 39:43 47
11 Atletico Saguntino 38 13 7 18 41:53 46
12 Mislata 38 12 10 16 37:52 46
13 Espanol de San Vicente 38 11 12 15 44:47 45
14 Eldense 38 12 9 17 31:39 45
15 Ribarroja 38 11 12 15 34:54 45
16 Torrevieja 38 12 7 19 31:42 43
17 Levante B 38 11 10 17 30:47 43
18 Burjassot 38 10 10 18 41:52 40
19 Villajoyosa 38 9 10 19 37:59 37
20 UD Puzol 38 7 9 22 33:75 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)