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Eldense vs Orihuela

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Monterde J.
43'
Bellari H.
43'
Bellari H.

AI Match Summary

Orihuela in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orihuela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Eldense
30%
Draws
47%
Orihuela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orihuela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eldense lately — more wins on the board than Orihuela.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Eldense Clean Sheet 16%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eldense Orihuela
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Eldense vs Orihuela
0:1
Feb 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Orihuela vs Eldense
3:1
Oct 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Orihuela
1:0
Apr 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Orihuela vs Eldense
0:1
Dec 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Orihuela
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eldense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Orihuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Monterde J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eldense 31 / 100
Orihuela 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eldense Orihuela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orihuela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eldense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Orihuela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Eldense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eldense VS Orihuela
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eldense

(Home)
13 Sept
Gijon
0 : 1
Eldense
05 Sept
Eldense
0 : 0
Mallorca
29 Aug
Leganes
1 : 0
Eldense
22 Aug
Eldense
2 : 2
Cadiz
17 Aug
Almeria
3 : 0
Eldense
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Orihuela

(Away)
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3
Orihuela
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
29 Aug
Orihuela
1 : 1
Valencia B
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