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Electrico FC vs Uniao Da Serra

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Souza B.
45' Event
Nabais I.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Nabais I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Electrico FC and Uniao Da Serra finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Da Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Electrico FC
33%
Draws
40%
Uniao Da Serra
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Uniao Da Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Da Serra come out ahead of Electrico FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Uniao Da Serra a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uniao Da Serra have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Electrico FC Clean Sheet 10%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Electrico FC Uniao Da Serra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Electrico FC vs Uniao Da Serra
2:4
Oct 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Electrico FC
2:2
Feb 13, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Uniao Da Serra vs Electrico FC
4:1
Oct 10, 2010 Second Division - Zona Centro
Electrico FC vs Uniao Da Serra
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Electrico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Uniao Da Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabais I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frazier E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Electrico FC 26 / 100
Uniao Da Serra 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Electrico FC Uniao Da Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Electrico FC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Uniao Da Serra let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Electrico FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Electrico FC VS Uniao Da Serra
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 13%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Electrico FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
15 Mar
Oliveira Hospital
5 : 0
Electrico FC
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Uniao Da Serra

(Away)
18 Apr
Samora Correia
4 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1
GD Peniche
04 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 0
Uniao Da Serra
29 Mar
Os Marialvas
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0
Marinhense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)