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Elene-Grotenberge vs Houdinois

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elene-Grotenberge play Houdinois in the Belgian Cup 2020/2021. Elene-Grotenberge are favorites here. Recently, Elene-Grotenberge averaged 2.5 goals scored and 2.05 conceded. Houdinois averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Elene-Grotenberge won 1, Houdinois won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 30, 2020 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Elene-Grotenberge and 1.00 for Houdinois. This points to a Elene-Grotenberge double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Elene-Grotenberge
25%
Draws
15%
Houdinois
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Elene-Grotenberge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Elene-Grotenberge picked up more points recently compared to Houdinois.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Elene-Grotenberge Clean Sheet 23%
Houdinois Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elene-Grotenberge Houdinois
Matches Played 22 8
Wins 13 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.05 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2020 Belgian Cup
Elene-Grotenberge vs Houdinois
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elene-Grotenberge 59 / 100
Houdinois 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elene-Grotenberge Houdinois

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elene-Grotenberge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Elene-Grotenberge & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Elene-Grotenberge attacking → ← attacking Houdinois

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elene-Grotenberge scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Houdinois let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Elene-Grotenberge went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Houdinois lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 12
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.33
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.33