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Elfsborg vs Aarhus Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Elfsborg and Aarhus finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Elfsborg
20%
Draws
38%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Elfsborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Elfsborg a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aarhus have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 20%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg Aarhus
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Aarhus
1:2
Feb 7, 2022 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Elfsborg
6:1
Feb 11, 2013 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Aarhus
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg 42 / 100
Aarhus 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elfsborg scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Aarhus has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Elfsborg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg VS Aarhus
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg

(Home)
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Sept
Brommapojkarna
2 : 1
Elfsborg
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
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Aarhus

(Away)
02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1
Vendsyssel FF
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
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