Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elfsborg vs Aarhus

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Elfsborg and Aarhus finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Elfsborg
28%
Draws
50%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Aarhus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aarhus a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aarhus have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 13%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg Aarhus
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Aarhus
1:2
Feb 7, 2022 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Elfsborg
6:1
Feb 11, 2013 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Aarhus
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg 22 / 100
Aarhus 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Elfsborg scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Elfsborg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg VS Aarhus
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg

(Home)
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3
Sirius
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Elfsborg
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Hammarby
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
29 May
Orgryte
2 : 2
Elfsborg
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Aarhus

(Away)
21 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 4
Lech Poznan
15 Jul
Aarhus
2 : 0
Horsens
11 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Aarhus
05 Jul
Aarhus
4 : 0
Motherwell
27 Jun
Aarhus
1 : 1
Viborg
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