Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elfsborg vs Halmstad

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Borås Arena, Borås
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elfsborg host Halmstad in the Allsvenskan. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Halmstad have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Elfsborg have conceded 1 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Elfsborg slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.56) point toward Elfsborg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Elfsborg
15%
Draws
42%
Halmstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Elfsborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Elfsborg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 68%
Halmstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg Halmstad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.52 0.86
Goals Conceded 1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Allsvenskan
Halmstad vs Elfsborg
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Halmstad
1:2
May 25, 2025 Allsvenskan
Halmstad vs Elfsborg
1:4
Sep 15, 2024 Allsvenskan
Halmstad vs Elfsborg
0:1
May 24, 2024 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Halmstad
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg 50 / 100
Halmstad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg Halmstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elfsborg's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Halmstad let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Elfsborg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg VS Halmstad
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg

(Home)
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Sept
Brommapojkarna
2 : 1
Elfsborg
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

Halmstad

(Away)
03 Oct
Halmstad
3 : 2
Oster
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1
AIK
12 Sept
IFK Goteborg
2 : 1
Halmstad
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Halmstad
1 : 0
Kalmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)