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Elfsborg W vs Gamla Upsala W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women Borås Arena, Borås
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elfsborg W host Gamla Upsala W in the Elitettan Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Elfsborg W have averaged 1.94 scored and 0.68 conceded recently, against Gamla Upsala W's 1.1 scored and 1.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Elfsborg W have won 2 to Gamla Upsala W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.13) back Elfsborg W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Elfsborg W
20%
Draws
19%
Gamla Upsala W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elfsborg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elfsborg W lately — more wins on the board than Gamla Upsala W.
  • Model gives Elfsborg W a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elitettan Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Elfsborg W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elfsborg W Clean Sheet 20%
Gamla Upsala W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg W Gamla Upsala W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 1.94 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Elitettan Women
Gamla Upsala W vs Elfsborg W
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 Elitettan Women
Elfsborg W vs Gamla Upsala W
2:1
May 17, 2025 Elitettan Women
Gamla Upsala W vs Elfsborg W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg W 85 / 100
Gamla Upsala W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg W Gamla Upsala W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elfsborg W scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Gamla Upsala W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Elfsborg W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg W VS Gamla Upsala W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg W

(Home)
08 Oct
Alingsas W
0 : 3
Elfsborg W
03 Oct
Trelleborg W
2 : 4
Elfsborg W
26 Sept
IFK Goteborg W
1 : 1
Elfsborg W
19 Sept
Elfsborg W
1 : 0
Sandviken W
12 Sept
Linkoping W
2 : 3
Elfsborg W
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Gamla Upsala W

(Away)
03 Oct
Gamla Upsala W
1 : 2
Enskede W
26 Sept
Husqvarna W
1 : 0
Gamla Upsala W
20 Sept
Gamla Upsala W
1 : 1
Alingsas W
13 Sept
Orebro SK W
0 : 1
Gamla Upsala W
09 Sept
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Gamla Upsala W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elfsborg W 21 14 6 1 41:12 48
2 KIF Orebro W 21 15 2 4 50:25 47
3 IFK Goteborg W 21 13 6 2 52:24 45
4 Linkoping W 21 13 3 5 39:28 42
5 Umea W 21 11 4 6 37:24 37
6 Trelleborg W 21 9 5 7 30:31 32
7 Husqvarna W 21 8 4 9 28:32 28
8 Jitex W 21 7 6 8 28:30 27
9 Orebro SK W 21 7 5 9 26:32 26
10 Enskede W 21 6 4 11 29:39 22
11 Alingsas W 21 4 7 10 18:29 19
12 Gamla Upsala W 21 4 5 12 22:35 17
13 Sandviken W 21 2 5 14 20:56 11
14 Hacken B W 21 2 2 17 22:45 8
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)