Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elgin City vs Aberdeen B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Borough Briggs, Elgin
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sargent R.
Assist: Booth L.
14' Event
Teasdale J.
21' Event
Teasdale J.
Assist: Lobban D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Elgin City
15%
Draws
37%
Aberdeen B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elgin City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elgin City come out ahead of Aberdeen B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Elgin City's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Elgin City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 12%
Aberdeen B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgin City Aberdeen B
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.91 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.05 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Elgin City vs Aberdeen B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elgin City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sargent R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hester K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.02

Aberdeen B Compare

Top Goalscorer Teasdale J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgin City 65 / 100
Aberdeen B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgin City Aberdeen B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgin City scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Aberdeen B let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Elgin City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elgin City VS Aberdeen B
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.6
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgin City

(Home)
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1
Elgin City
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0
Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
08 Sept
Elgin City
7 : 0
Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 7

Aberdeen B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
22 Sept
Banks O' Dee
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
08 Sept
Ross County
3 : 4
Aberdeen B
25 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 1
Aberdeen B
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3
Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 6 6 0 0 26:4 18
2 Stenhousemuir 6 6 0 0 18:2 18
3 Montrose 6 5 1 0 18:9 16
4 East Fife 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
5 Stranraer 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
6 East Kilbride 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
7 Forfar Athletic 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
8 Edinburgh City 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
9 Spartans 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
10 Elgin City 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
11 Dumbarton 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
12 Annan 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
13 Alloa 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
14 Kelty Hearts 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
15 Clyde 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
16 Queen of the South 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
17 Hamilton 6 3 1 2 13:8 9
18 Stirling 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
19 Cove Rangers 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
20 Peterhead 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
21 Celtic B 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
22 Hearts B 6 2 0 4 9:14 6
23 Hibernian B 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
24 St. Mirren B 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
25 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
26 Aberdeen B 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
27 Motherwell B 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
28 Rangers B 6 0 0 6 6:16 0
29 Kilmarnock B 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
30 Dundee FC B 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)