Sport Picks

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Elgin City vs Dundee Utd B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Hester K.
Assist: Cameron B.

AI Match Summary

Elgin City in this Challenge Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Elgin City
15%
Draws
28%
Dundee Utd B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elgin City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elgin City lately — more wins on the board than Dundee Utd B.
  • Elgin City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Elgin City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Elgin City, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 68%
Dundee Utd B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgin City Dundee Utd B
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 0
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 Challenge Cup
Elgin City vs Dundee Utd B
3:1
Aug 9, 2022 Challenge Cup
Elgin City vs Dundee Utd B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elgin City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hester K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Dundee Utd B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgin City 95 / 100
Dundee Utd B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgin City Dundee Utd B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgin City scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Dundee Utd B has conceded goals in 87% of their last 15 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Dundee Utd B has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elgin City VS Dundee Utd B
2 Goals Scored 0.6
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgin City

(Home)
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
08 Sept
Elgin City
7 : 0
Fraserburgh
05 Sept
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Elgin City
29 Aug
Elgin City
4 : 0
Stirling
Page 1 of 7

Dundee Utd B

(Away)
08 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 3
Dundee Utd B
25 Aug
Cove Rangers
2 : 0
Dundee Utd B
11 Aug
Clachnacuddin
5 : 0
Dundee Utd B
11 Nov
Inverness
6 : 0
Dundee Utd B
11 Oct
Cove Rangers
5 : 1
Dundee Utd B
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Falkirk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
East Fife -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 0
St Johnstone B 2
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 2
Celtic B 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Livingston B 1
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Montrose -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kilmarnock B 3
Cowdenbeath 0
St. Mirren B 0
East Stirlingshire 1
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
Morton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ayr -
Spartans 0
Rangers B 1
TBD -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
Inverness -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian B 1
Brechin 2
TBD -
Stirling -
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elgin City 1
Dundee Utd B 0
TBD -
Stenhousemuir -
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Alloa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
TBD -
Stranraer -
Motherwell B 1
East Kilbride 2
TBD -
Annan -
Forfar Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Kelty Hearts -
Hearts B 2
Buckie Thistle 3
Brora Rangers 2
Aberdeen B 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Falkirk -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Arbroath -
TBD -
East Fife 4
St Johnstone B 0
Dunfermline -
TBD -
Celtic B 3
Livingston B 0
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Montrose -
TBD -
Kilmarnock B 5
East Stirlingshire 2
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
Morton -
TBD -
TBD -
Ayr -
Rangers B 7
Dumbarton 0
TBD -
Hamilton -
Inverness -
TBD -
Brechin 2
Stirling 1
Peterhead -
TBD -
Elgin City 3
Stenhousemuir 1
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Alloa -
TBD -
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
Edinburgh City 3
Stranraer 2
East Kilbride 1
Annan 2
Forfar Athletic 1
Kelty Hearts 2
Buckie Thistle 2
Brora Rangers 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Falkirk 2
Partick 0
TNS 0
Dundee FC 3
Arbroath 2
East Fife 1
Dunfermline 2
Celtic B 1
Cliftonville 2
Queen's Park 3
Montrose 4
Kilmarnock B 2
Cove Rangers 0
Raith 1
Morton 2
Ayr 1
Rangers B 0
Hamilton 3
Inverness 4
Brechin 3
Peterhead 0
Elgin City 4
Clyde 1
Caernarfon 0
Alloa 1
Airdrieonians 0
Queen of the South 4
Edinburgh City 0
Annan 1
Kelty Hearts 2
Buckie Thistle 1
Linfield 2
1/8-finals
Falkirk 0
Dundee FC 3
Arbroath 1
Dunfermline 5
Queen's Park 2
Montrose 0
Raith 2
Morton 1
Hamilton 2
Inverness 0
Elgin City 0
Clyde 1
Alloa 2
Queen of the South 4
Kelty Hearts 2
Linfield 1
Quarter-finals
Dundee FC 4
Dunfermline 2
Queen's Park 0
Raith 1
Hamilton 3
Clyde 2
Queen of the South 1
Kelty Hearts 0
Semi-finals
Dundee FC 2
Raith 3
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 1
Final
Raith 0
Hamilton 1