Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elgin City vs Kilmarnock

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Borough Briggs
Elgin City Logo

Elgin City

0 - 1
FT
Kilmarnock Logo

Kilmarnock

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Rice B.
37'
Brandon J.
43'
Sub
Owen I. In: Ring E.
Out: Owen I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Elgin City and Kilmarnock finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilmarnock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Elgin City
33%
Draws
40%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kilmarnock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kilmarnock come out ahead of Elgin City on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kilmarnock's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Cup games in League Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 10%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgin City Kilmarnock
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup
Elgin City vs Kilmarnock
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elgin City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugill J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgin City 26 / 100
Kilmarnock 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgin City Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgin City scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Kilmarnock conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Elgin City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elgin City VS Kilmarnock
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

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