Sport Picks

Elgin City vs Kilmarnock Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland

League Cup Borough Briggs, Elgin

Elgin City

0 - 1

Kilmarnock

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Rice B.

37'

Brandon J.

43'

Sub

Owen I. In: Ring E.

Out: Owen I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Elgin City

20%

Draws

29%

Kilmarnock

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elgin City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kilmarnock come out ahead of Elgin City on wins alone.
Win probability leans Elgin City's way, sitting at 90%.
Kilmarnock arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Kilmarnock, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Elgin City Clean Sheet 20%

Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Elgin City	Kilmarnock
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	15
Draws	6	4
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.97	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	2.31	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup

Elgin City vs Kilmarnock

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elgin City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78

Avg xA / game 1.16

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugill J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgin City 85 / 100

Kilmarnock 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Elgin City Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elgin City scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Kilmarnock let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Elgin City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Elgin City VS Kilmarnock

2.75 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgin City

(Home)

26 Sept

Peterhead

0 : 1

Elgin City

22 Sept

Elgin City

3 : 0

Dundee FC B

19 Sept

Elgin City

1 : 5

Stranraer

12 Sept

Annan

2 : 0

Elgin City

08 Sept

Elgin City

7 : 0

Fraserburgh

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Kilmarnock

(Away)

19 Sept

Kilmarnock

1 : 1

Hearts

15 Sept

Hibernian

0 : 1

Kilmarnock

12 Sept

Kilmarnock

1 : 2

Aberdeen

05 Sept

Aberdeen

0 : 0

Kilmarnock

02 Sept

Kilmarnock

0 : 1

St. Mirren

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