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Elgoibar vs Gernika Club

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elgoibar play Gernika Club in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Elgoibar averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Gernika Club averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Elgoibar won 2, Gernika Club won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 9, 2014 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Elgoibar and 1.24 for Gernika Club. This points to a Gernika Club double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Elgoibar
17%
Draws
70%
Gernika Club
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Gernika Club has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Elgoibar.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Gernika Club.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 19%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgoibar Gernika Club
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Elgoibar
0:0
Sep 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Gernika Club
1:1
Mar 2, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Gernika Club
1:3
Oct 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Elgoibar
0:1
Mar 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Elgoibar
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgoibar 16 / 100
Gernika Club 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgoibar Gernika Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgoibar scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Gernika Club let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Elgoibar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gernika Club lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gernika Club
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Laudio382312365:2981
2Arenas Getxo38239654:2478
3Portugalete382110775:3873
4Leioa382011743:2871
5Gernika Club381912758:3169
6Zalla UC381813751:3667
7Bermeo3812161052:4752
8SCD Durango3811151239:4448
9Zamudio3811141341:5247
10Beasain3811141338:4147
11Lagun Onak3811131436:4146
12Basconia381361949:5945
13Pasaia3810131543:6443
14Alaves B3811101740:4843
15Elgoibar3810131535:4243
16Santutxu FC3810111739:5541
17Balmaseda381172049:5740
18Deportivo Getxo389121734:4939
19Aurrera de Vitoria38782327:5729
20Anaitasuna FT38672535:6125