Sport Picks
Elgoibar vs Lagun Onak Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Lagun Onak in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lagun Onak.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagun Onak
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lagun Onak have won more games recently than Elgoibar.
- Model gives Lagun Onak a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 19%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elgoibar | Lagun Onak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Elgoibar
1:1
Oct 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Lagun Onak
1:1
Feb 16, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Lagun Onak
0:3
Sep 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Elgoibar
1:1
Feb 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Elgoibar
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elgoibar 16 / 100
Lagun Onak 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elgoibar Lagun Onak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lagun Onak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Elgoibar found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Lagun Onak conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.
Elgoibar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lagun Onak
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Elgoibar
(Home) 15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5 Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0 Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1 Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1 Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0 Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5 Real Sociedad
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1 Bermeo
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0 Santutxu FC
05 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0 Leioa
15 Mar
Elgoibar
2 : 1 Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 4
Lagun Onak
(Away) 27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1 Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2 Beasain
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
24 May
Derio
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
09 May
Leioa
2 : 3 Lagun Onak
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2 Lagun Onak
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laudio | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 65:29 | 81 |
| 2 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 54:24 | 78 |
| 3 | Portugalete | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 75:38 | 73 |
| 4 | Leioa | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 43:28 | 71 |
| 5 | Gernika Club | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 58:31 | 69 |
| 6 | Zalla UC | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 51:36 | 67 |
| 7 | Bermeo | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 39:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Zamudio | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 41:52 | 47 |
| 10 | Beasain | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 36:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Basconia | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:59 | 45 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43:64 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves B | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:48 | 43 |
| 15 | Elgoibar | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 35:42 | 43 |
| 16 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 17 | Balmaseda | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 18 | Deportivo Getxo | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 34:49 | 39 |
| 19 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Anaitasuna FT | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 35:61 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
