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Elgoibar vs Pasaia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013
Elgoibar Logo

Elgoibar

1 - 1
FT
Pasaia Logo

Pasaia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Elgoibar
30%
Draws
47%
Pasaia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pasaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pasaia at 0.77 per game, Elgoibar at 0.7.
  • Elgoibar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 20%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgoibar Pasaia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.7 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Pasaia
1:0
Aug 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Elgoibar
1:0
Mar 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Pasaia
1:1
Nov 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Elgoibar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgoibar 40 / 100
Pasaia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgoibar Pasaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgoibar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pasaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Pasaia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Elgoibar scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pasaia
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgoibar

(Home)
15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5
Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0
Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1
Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1
Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 6

Pasaia

(Away)
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
15 Apr
Pasaia
3 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laudio 38 23 12 3 65:29 81
2 Arenas Getxo 38 23 9 6 54:24 78
3 Portugalete 38 21 10 7 75:38 73
4 Leioa 38 20 11 7 43:28 71
5 Gernika Club 38 19 12 7 58:31 69
6 Zalla UC 38 18 13 7 51:36 67
7 Bermeo 38 12 16 10 52:47 52
8 SCD Durango 38 11 15 12 39:44 48
9 Zamudio 38 11 14 13 41:52 47
10 Beasain 38 11 14 13 38:41 47
11 Lagun Onak 38 11 13 14 36:41 46
12 Basconia 38 13 6 19 49:59 45
13 Pasaia 38 10 13 15 43:64 43
14 Alaves B 38 11 10 17 40:48 43
15 Elgoibar 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Santutxu FC 38 10 11 17 39:55 41
17 Balmaseda 38 11 7 20 49:57 40
18 Deportivo Getxo 38 9 12 17 34:49 39
19 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 7 8 23 27:57 29
20 Anaitasuna FT 38 6 7 25 35:61 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)