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Elgoibar vs SCD Durango

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 game between Elgoibar and SCD Durango finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elgoibar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Elgoibar
30%
Draws
58%
SCD Durango
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • SCD Durango carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SCD Durango's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 20%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgoibar SCD Durango
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.7 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs SCD Durango
3:1
Oct 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Elgoibar
3:1
May 11, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs SCD Durango
4:0
Dec 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Elgoibar
1:0
Jan 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Elgoibar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgoibar 10 / 100
SCD Durango 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgoibar SCD Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

SCD Durango has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Elgoibar scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Elgoibar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SCD Durango
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgoibar

(Home)
15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5
Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0
Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1
Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1
Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0
Santutxu FC
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SCD Durango

(Away)
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
03 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
SCD Durango
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
16 Apr
Lagun Onak
0 : 1
SCD Durango
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laudio 38 23 12 3 65:29 81
2 Arenas Getxo 38 23 9 6 54:24 78
3 Portugalete 38 21 10 7 75:38 73
4 Leioa 38 20 11 7 43:28 71
5 Gernika Club 38 19 12 7 58:31 69
6 Zalla UC 38 18 13 7 51:36 67
7 Bermeo 38 12 16 10 52:47 52
8 SCD Durango 38 11 15 12 39:44 48
9 Zamudio 38 11 14 13 41:52 47
10 Beasain 38 11 14 13 38:41 47
11 Lagun Onak 38 11 13 14 36:41 46
12 Basconia 38 13 6 19 49:59 45
13 Pasaia 38 10 13 15 43:64 43
14 Alaves B 38 11 10 17 40:48 43
15 Elgoibar 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Santutxu FC 38 10 11 17 39:55 41
17 Balmaseda 38 11 7 20 49:57 40
18 Deportivo Getxo 38 9 12 17 34:49 39
19 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 7 8 23 27:57 29
20 Anaitasuna FT 38 6 7 25 35:61 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)