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Ellas Syrou vs PAE Egaleo

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Vernardos T.
65' Event
Garoufalias I.
76' Event
Ogboe M.

AI Match Summary

Ellas Syrou in this Super League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellas Syrou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ellas Syrou
30%
Draws
39%
PAE Egaleo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PAE Egaleo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ellas Syrou have won more games recently than PAE Egaleo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ellas Syrou Clean Sheet 20%
PAE Egaleo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellas Syrou PAE Egaleo
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Ellas Syrou
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs PAE Egaleo
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Ellas Syrou
0:2
Oct 25, 2025 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs PAE Egaleo
0:0
Sep 24, 2025 Greek Cup
Ellas Syrou vs PAE Egaleo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ellas Syrou Compare

Top Goalscorer Vernardos T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garoufalias I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

PAE Egaleo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellas Syrou 32 / 100
PAE Egaleo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellas Syrou PAE Egaleo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellas Syrou scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

PAE Egaleo has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ellas Syrou has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ellas Syrou VS PAE Egaleo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellas Syrou

(Home)
13 Sept
Ellas Syrou
3 : 0
Karditsa
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
24 Aug
Ellas Syrou
1 : 2
Marko
25 Apr
Panargiakos
0 : 1
Ellas Syrou
19 Apr
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Athens Kallithea
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PAE Egaleo

(Away)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
29 Mar
PAE Egaleo
2 : 1
Ellas Syrou
21 Mar
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
PAE Egaleo
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