Sport Picks
Ellerslie W vs Wellington United W
New Zealand
National League Women 2023 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The National League Women 2023 game between Ellerslie W and Wellington United W finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington United W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Wellington United W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Wellington United W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ellerslie W | Wellington United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 27 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ellerslie W Compare
Wellington United W Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Wellington United W let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Ellerslie W scored in 30% of their last 10 outings.
Recent resilience: Ellerslie W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ellerslie W
(Home)Wellington United W
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland United W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Southern United W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 4 | Western Springs W | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Wellington United W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 6 | Waterside Karori W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Canterbury United W | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17:22 | 7 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 9 | Central Football W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 4 |
| 10 | Ellerslie W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:23 | 3 |