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Ellerton FC vs Wotton

Barbados Barbados

Premier League
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Ellerton FC host Wotton in the Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Wotton have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Ellerton FC have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Ellerton FC have won 2 to Wotton's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2026, ending 8:0. xG projections (2.44 - 1.13) back Ellerton FC to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ellerton FC
6%
Draws
4%
Wotton
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ellerton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ellerton FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Wotton.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ellerton FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ellerton FC Clean Sheet 68%
Wotton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellerton FC Wotton
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Wotton
8:0
Jan 14, 2026 Premier League
Wotton vs Ellerton FC
1:3
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Wotton vs Ellerton FC
4:4
Feb 10, 2025 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Wotton
1:2
Apr 24, 2024 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Wotton
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellerton FC 95 / 100
Wotton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellerton FC Wotton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellerton FC scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Wotton let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Ellerton FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Wotton lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ellerton FC VS Wotton
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%