Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Saemundsson T.
35'
35'
Margeirsson A. F.
AI Match Summary
Arborg in this Icelandic Cup 2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ellidi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Arborg have won more games recently than Ellidi.
- Ellidi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Arborg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Arborg, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ellidi Clean Sheet 13%
Arborg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ellidi | Arborg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 16 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.35 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.91 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Ellidi vs Arborg
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ellidi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Arborg Compare
Top Goalscorer Margeirsson A. F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ellidi 40 / 100
Arborg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ellidi Arborg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Arborg conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Ellidi's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 23 recent games.
Difficult form: Arborg registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Ellidi VS Arborg
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ellidi
(Home) 28 Mar
Ellidi
0 : 2 Grindavik
21 Mar
Ellidi
9 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
03 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
KFK Kopavogur
1 : 5 Ellidi
04 Apr
Ellidi
0 : 3 Olafsvik
Page 1 of 5
28 Mar
Ellidi
0 : 2 Grindavik
21 Mar
Ellidi
9 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
03 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 3 Haukar
04 Apr
Ellidi
0 : 3 Olafsvik
19 Jul
Ellidi
1 : 4 Kari
Page 1 of 4
Arborg
(Away) 22 Mar
Olafsvik
3 : 2 Arborg
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1 IH Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6
22 Mar
Olafsvik
3 : 2 Arborg
22 Mar
Ellidi
0 : 1 Arborg
09 Apr
Kari
3 : 0 Arborg
23 Apr
Hviti
4 : 1 Arborg
23 Jun
Afturelding
3 : 0 Arborg
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
