Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ellidi in this Icelandic Cup 2014 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ellidi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ellidi lately — more wins on the board than Orninn.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Ellidi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ellidi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ellidi Clean Sheet 10%
Orninn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ellidi | Orninn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 5 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.35 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.91 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 3.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2014 Icelandic Cup
Ellidi vs Orninn
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ellidi 29 / 100
Orninn 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ellidi Orninn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ellidi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ellidi's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 23 recent games.
Defensive concern: Orninn conceded in 60% of 5 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Orninn registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ellidi VS Orninn
2.75 Goals Scored 2
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ellidi
(Home) 28 Mar
Ellidi
0 : 2 Grindavik
21 Mar
Ellidi
9 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
03 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
KFK Kopavogur
1 : 5 Ellidi
04 Apr
Ellidi
0 : 3 Olafsvik
Page 1 of 5
28 Mar
Ellidi
0 : 2 Grindavik
21 Mar
Ellidi
9 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
03 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 3 Haukar
04 Apr
Ellidi
0 : 3 Olafsvik
19 Jul
Ellidi
1 : 4 Kari
Page 1 of 4
Orninn
(Away) 10 May
Orninn
0 : 1 Grindavik
30 Apr
Ymir
0 : 4 Orninn
19 May
Orninn
2 : 4 Kari
02 May
IH Hafnarfjordur
0 : 2 Orninn
03 May
Ellidi
2 : 1 Orninn
30 Apr
Ymir
0 : 4 Orninn
02 May
IH Hafnarfjordur
0 : 2 Orninn
03 May
Ellidi
2 : 1 Orninn
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 3
Kria 1
Lettir 1
Augnablik 7
Fjallabyggd -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Volsungur 11
KFR 2
Alftanes 0
Snaefell 1
Hamar 6
KV Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur -
Kari -
Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 1
Magni 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Bolungarvik -
TBD -
Lumman 3
Berserkir 6
Leiknir Faskruds 4
Hottur 2
Einherji 1
Fjardabyggd 5
Afturelding 2
Midas 1
Reynir 2
Aegir 3
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Hviti 1
IR Reykjavik 4
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grundarfjordur 5
Vatnaliljur 1
KB Breidholt 1
Njardvik 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ellidi 2
Orninn 1
TBD -
Haukar -
Vidir 2
Arborg 1
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Skinandi 11
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 6
Kongarnir 3
TBD -
Selfoss -
KFG Gardabaer 4
Gnupverjar 0
Stal-Ulfur 0
Throttur Vogar 8
KFS 3
Grotta 1
TBD -
Throttur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Isbjorninn 1
Stokkseyri 0
Armann 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalvik/Reynir -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/32-finals
Keflavik -
TBD -
Vaengirs 0
Augnablik 3
Fjallabyggd 2
Volsungur 0
KFR 0
Hamar 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Kari 0
Huginn 3
Sindri 4
KA Akureyri 7
Magni 0
TBD -
Fram -
Bolungarvik 8
Berserkir 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Fjardabyggd 4
Afturelding 4
Aegir 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 3
Fylkir -
TBD -
Grundarfjordur 2
Njardvik 6
Grindavik 4
Akranes 1
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Ellidi 0
Haukar 2
Vidir 4
Skinandi 0
TBD -
Valur -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Selfoss 3
KFG Gardabaer 4
Throttur Vogar 3
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Breidablik -
TBD -
Olafsvik 0
Kopavogur 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
Armann 0
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Tindastoll 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/16-finals
Keflavik 5
Augnablik 0
Fjallabyggd 2
Hamar 3
KV Reykjavik 2
Sindri 0
KA Akureyri 0
Fram 1
Bolungarvik 4
Fjardabyggd 2
Afturelding 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 3
Njardvik 1
Grindavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Haukar 0
Vidir 0
Valur 1
Stjarnan 6
Selfoss 0
KFG Gardabaer 0
Throttur 4
Breidablik 2
Kopavogur 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 5
Fjolnir 1
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Hafnarfjordur 0
KR Reykjavik 1
1/8-finals
Keflavik 6
Hamar 1
KV Reykjavik 3
Fram 5
Bolungarvik 5
IR Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 5
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Valur 0
Stjarnan 0
Throttur 1
Breidablik 3
Thor Akureyri 1
Fjolnir 2
KR Reykjavik 4
Quarter-finals
Keflavik 3
Fram 1
Bolungarvik 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Throttur 0
Breidablik 0
KR Reykjavik 2
Semi-finals
Keflavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
KR Reykjavik 5
Final
Keflavik 1
KR Reykjavik 2
