Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ellopiakos vs Agios Nikolaos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Ellopiakos and Agios Nikolaos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ellopiakos
20%
Draws
45%
Agios Nikolaos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agios Nikolaos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Agios Nikolaos come out ahead of Ellopiakos on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Agios Nikolaos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 20%
Agios Nikolaos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellopiakos Agios Nikolaos
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Agios Nikolaos
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Agios Nikolaos vs Ellopiakos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellopiakos 20 / 100
Agios Nikolaos 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellopiakos Agios Nikolaos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agios Nikolaos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ellopiakos scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ellopiakos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Agios Nikolaos conceded in 57% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Agios Nikolaos
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellopiakos

(Home)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

Agios Nikolaos

(Away)
27 Sept
Agios Nikolaos
2 : 0
AO Tympakiou
27 Apr
Thiva F.C.
0 : 3
Agios Nikolaos
16 Apr
Agios Nikolaos
1 : 0
Chaidari
12 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 1
Agios Nikolaos
06 Apr
Agios Nikolaos
2 : 1
Asteras Kaisarianis
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)