Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ellopiakos vs Apollon Smyrnis Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Smyrnis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Smyrnis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Ellopiakos
15%
Draws
32%
Apollon Smyrnis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ellopiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ellopiakos have won more games recently than Apollon Smyrnis.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 20%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellopiakos Apollon Smyrnis
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Apollon Smyrnis vs Ellopiakos
0:1
Dec 17, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellopiakos 32 / 100
Apollon Smyrnis 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellopiakos Apollon Smyrnis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellopiakos's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Apollon Smyrnis conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Ellopiakos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ellopiakos VS Apollon Smyrnis
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellopiakos

(Home)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

Apollon Smyrnis

(Away)
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ethnikos Piraeus
3 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ermis Zonianon
3 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)