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Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024

Ellopiakos

0 - 2

Apollon Smyrnis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Apollon Smyrnis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Smyrnis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ellopiakos

39%

Draws

30%

Apollon Smyrnis

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Ellopiakos have won more games recently than Apollon Smyrnis.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 19%

Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ellopiakos	Apollon Smyrnis
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	10
Draws	9	9
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Apollon Smyrnis vs Ellopiakos

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Dec 17, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Ellopiakos vs Apollon Smyrnis

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellopiakos 32 / 100

Apollon Smyrnis 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ellopiakos Apollon Smyrnis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMY Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellopiakos's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Apollon Smyrnis conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Ellopiakos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ellopiakos VS Apollon Smyrnis

1.63 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panionios	34	26	6	2	81:22	84
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	34	20	12	2	61:19	72
3	Almyros Gaziou	34	17	12	5	59:28	63
4	Aris Petroupolis	34	18	6	10	47:38	60
5	AO Ilisiakos	34	16	9	9	43:29	57
6	Ipato	34	14	9	11	45:34	51
7	Atsalenios FC	34	14	8	12	41:33	50
8	Agios Nikolaos	34	14	10	10	55:38	49
9	Chaidari	34	13	10	11	39:29	49
10	Ellopiakos	34	13	9	12	45:43	48
11	AO Proodeftiki	34	14	6	14	47:38	48
12	Apollon Smyrnis	34	10	12	12	39:37	42
13	Ermis Zonianon	34	9	10	15	36:54	37
14	Episkopi	34	9	10	15	40:54	37
15	Peramaikos	34	9	3	22	32:58	30
16	Fostiras	34	6	13	15	29:40	28
17	Paraskevi	34	5	5	24	26:82	17
18	Atromitos Piraeus	34	3	2	29	16:105	11