Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024

Ellopiakos

2 - 1

Atsalenios FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ellopiakos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellopiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ellopiakos

40%

Draws

29%

Atsalenios FC

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Atsalenios FC have won more games recently than Ellopiakos.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 20%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 20%

Atsalenios FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ellopiakos	Atsalenios FC
Matches Played	30	52
Wins	12	22
Draws	9	12
Losses	9	18
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Ellopiakos vs Atsalenios FC

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Nov 26, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Atsalenios FC vs Ellopiakos

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellopiakos 32 / 100

Atsalenios FC 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ellopiakos Atsalenios FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellopiakos's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atsalenios FC let in goals in 62% of their last 52 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ellopiakos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atsalenios FC

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.13

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panionios	34	26	6	2	81:22	84
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	34	20	12	2	61:19	72
3	Almyros Gaziou	34	17	12	5	59:28	63
4	Aris Petroupolis	34	18	6	10	47:38	60
5	AO Ilisiakos	34	16	9	9	43:29	57
6	Ipato	34	14	9	11	45:34	51
7	Atsalenios FC	34	14	8	12	41:33	50
8	Agios Nikolaos	34	14	10	10	55:38	49
9	Chaidari	34	13	10	11	39:29	49
10	Ellopiakos	34	13	9	12	45:43	48
11	AO Proodeftiki	34	14	6	14	47:38	48
12	Apollon Smyrnis	34	10	12	12	39:37	42
13	Ermis Zonianon	34	9	10	15	36:54	37
14	Episkopi	34	9	10	15	40:54	37
15	Peramaikos	34	9	3	22	32:58	30
16	Fostiras	34	6	13	15	29:40	28
17	Paraskevi	34	5	5	24	26:82	17
18	Atromitos Piraeus	34	3	2	29	16:105	11