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Ellopiakos vs Episkopi Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ellopiakos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellopiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ellopiakos
15%
Draws
20%
Episkopi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ellopiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ellopiakos have won more games recently than Episkopi.
  • Ellopiakos are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 18%
Episkopi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellopiakos Episkopi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Episkopi
3:0
Sep 24, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Episkopi vs Ellopiakos
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellopiakos 76 / 100
Episkopi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellopiakos Episkopi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellopiakos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellopiakos's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Episkopi conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ellopiakos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ellopiakos VS Episkopi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellopiakos

(Home)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
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Episkopi

(Away)
27 Sept
Episkopi
1 : 0
AE Neapolis
08 Sept
Episkopi
0 : 1
Kalamata
28 Apr
Chaidari
2 : 0
Episkopi
24 Apr
Episkopi
1 : 4
Panionios
20 Apr
Atsalenios FC
1 : 0
Episkopi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)