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Elman vs Badbaado

Somalia Somalia

National league
Elman Logo

Elman

1 - 2
FT
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Elman and Badbaado finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Badbaado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Elman
15%
Draws
42%
Badbaado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elman come out ahead of Badbaado on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Elman Clean Sheet 18%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Badbaado
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.73 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Elman
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 National league
Elman vs Badbaado
1:2
May 8, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Elman
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 National league
Elman vs Badbaado
1:1
Jul 26, 2024 National league
Elman vs Badbaado
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 36 / 100
Badbaado 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Badbaado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Elman's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Badbaado registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Badbaado
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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Badbaado

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)