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Elman vs Gaadiidka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Somalia Somalia

National league
Elman Logo

Elman

0 - 2
FT
Gaadiidka Logo

Gaadiidka

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Elman and Gaadiidka finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Elman
15%
Draws
58%
Gaadiidka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gaadiidka come out ahead of Elman on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Gaadiidka taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Elman Clean Sheet 10%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Gaadiidka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.73 2.2
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 National league
Elman vs Gaadiidka
0:2
May 12, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Elman
1:0
May 1, 2025 National league
Elman vs Gaadiidka
0:1
Jan 17, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Elman
0:1
Jun 17, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Elman
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 18 / 100
Gaadiidka 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Gaadiidka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elman scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Gaadiidka has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Elman stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Gaadiidka
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Gaadiidka

(Away)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)