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Elman vs Horseed

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elman
6%
Draws
4%
Horseed
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elman lately — more wins on the board than Horseed.
  • Elman are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Elman Clean Sheet 19%
Horseed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Horseed
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 National league
Elman vs Horseed
0:0
May 2, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Elman
0:3
May 22, 2025 National league
Elman vs Horseed
3:2
Feb 7, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Elman
2:1
Jun 5, 2024 National league
Elman vs Horseed
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 85 / 100
Horseed 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Horseed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elman scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Elman remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Horseed has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Horseed
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Horseed

(Away)
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
03 Jul
Horseed
1 : 1
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Heegan20135249:1644
2Gaadiidka18125148:1441
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1855837:3520
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
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