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Elman vs Horseed

Somalia Somalia

National league
Elman Logo

Elman

0 - 0
FT
Horseed Logo

Horseed

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Elman
20%
Draws
46%
Horseed
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Horseed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Horseed at 2 per game, Elman at 1.73.
  • Elman are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Elman Clean Sheet 19%
Horseed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Horseed
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.73 2
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 National league
Elman vs Horseed
0:0
May 2, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Elman
0:3
May 22, 2025 National league
Elman vs Horseed
3:2
Feb 7, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Elman
2:1
Jun 5, 2024 National league
Elman vs Horseed
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 36 / 100
Horseed 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Horseed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elman scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Horseed's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Elman has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Horseed
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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Horseed

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)