Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elman vs Jubba

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elman in this National league matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elman
6%
Draws
4%
Jubba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elman lately — more wins on the board than Jubba.
  • Elman are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Elman Clean Sheet 20%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Jubba
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 15 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 4.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 4.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Elman
0:5
Apr 19, 2026 National league
Elman vs Jubba
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 85 / 100
Jubba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Jubba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jubba let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Jubba registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Elman found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Jubba
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Jubba

(Away)
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
08 Jul
Jubba
0 : 4
Mogadishu City
02 Jul
Jazeera
4 : 2
Jubba
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
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