Sport Picks

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Elman vs Jubba

Somalia Somalia

National league
Elman Logo

Elman

4 - 1
FT
Jubba Logo

Jubba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elman in this National league matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Elman
15%
Draws
0%
Jubba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elman lately — more wins on the board than Jubba.
  • Elman are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Elman Clean Sheet 20%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Jubba
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 16 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.73 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.8 4.36
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Elman
0:5
Apr 19, 2026 National league
Elman vs Jubba
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 85 / 100
Jubba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Jubba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jubba let in goals in 91% of their last 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Jubba registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Elman found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Jubba
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Jubba

(Away)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)