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Elman vs Raadsan

Somalia Somalia

National league
Elman Logo

Elman

3 - 1
FT
Raadsan Logo

Raadsan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Elman and Raadsan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Elman
15%
Draws
34%
Raadsan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Elman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Elman's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Elman have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Elman Clean Sheet 16%
Raadsan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Raadsan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.73 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.8 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 National league
Raadsan vs Elman
2:6
May 30, 2026 National league
Elman vs Raadsan
3:1
Apr 17, 2025 National league
Raadsan vs Elman
1:0
Jan 3, 2025 National league
Elman vs Raadsan
3:1
Jul 31, 2024 National league
Elman vs Raadsan
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 84 / 100
Raadsan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Raadsan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raadsan has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Elman scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Raadsan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Raadsan
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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Raadsan

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Raadsan
0 : 4
Heegan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)