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Elmshorn vs Buxtehuder

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2014/2015
Fri, Mar 6, 2015
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elmshorn host Buxtehuder in the Oberliga Hamburg 2014/2015. Little to choose between these two on current form. Elmshorn have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Buxtehuder's 0.88 scored and 2.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Buxtehuder slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2015, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.85 vs 0.99, favoring Buxtehuder. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elmshorn
6%
Draws
4%
Buxtehuder
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elmshorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Buxtehuder come out ahead of Elmshorn on wins alone.
  • Model gives Elmshorn a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Elmshorn Clean Sheet 20%
Buxtehuder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elmshorn Buxtehuder
Matches Played 15 35
Wins 0 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2015 Oberliga Hamburg
Elmshorn vs Buxtehuder
0:0
Sep 5, 2014 Oberliga Hamburg
Buxtehuder vs Elmshorn
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elmshorn 85 / 100
Buxtehuder 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elmshorn Buxtehuder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxtehuder let in goals in 89% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Buxtehuder's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Elmshorn scored in 53% of their last 15 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Buxtehuder
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elmshorn

(Home)
05 Dec
Elmshorn
0 : 2
Niendorfer TSV
30 Nov
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 1
Elmshorn
22 Nov
Meiendorfer SV
3 : 1
Elmshorn
14 Nov
Elmshorn
0 : 4
Paloma
07 Nov
Elmshorn
0 : 1
Halstenbek-Rellingen
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Buxtehuder

(Away)
19 May
Buxtehuder
1 : 3
Wedeler
12 May
Suderelbe
10 : 1
Buxtehuder
07 May
Altona
1 : 1
Buxtehuder
02 May
Rugenbergen
6 : 2
Buxtehuder
28 Apr
Buxtehuder
1 : 3
SC Victoria Hamburg
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