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Elosport vs Santacruzense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Elosport Logo

Elosport

1 - 6
FT
Santacruzense Logo

Santacruzense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santacruzense in this Paulista A4 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santacruzense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Elosport
35%
Draws
46%
Santacruzense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santacruzense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Elosport haven't matched Santacruzense's recent run of results.
  • Santacruzense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Santacruzense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Elosport Clean Sheet 19%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elosport Santacruzense
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2019 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Santacruzense
1:6
Apr 21, 2019 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Elosport
3:0
Jul 10, 2016 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Santacruzense
1:1
May 22, 2016 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Elosport
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elosport 28 / 100
Santacruzense 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elosport Santacruzense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santacruzense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Defensive concern: Santacruzense conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Elosport's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Elosport went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santacruzense
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Elosport

(Home)
14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2
Independente SP
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Elosport
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2
Uniao Barbarense
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2
Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2
Elosport
Page 1 of 6

Santacruzense

(Away)
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0
Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0
America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 12 7 4 1 20:8 25
2 Andradina Esporte Clube 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
3 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 5 2 5 12:15 17
4 Tupa 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
5 Osvaldo Cruz 12 4 3 5 12:11 15
6 Bandeirante 12 3 2 7 9:17 11
7 America SP 12 2 2 8 7:15 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 12 7 3 2 29:13 24
2 Catanduva FC 12 5 5 2 19:13 20
3 Matonense 12 5 3 4 20:14 18
4 Catanduvense 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
5 Inter de Bebedouro 12 4 5 3 17:14 17
6 Taquaritinga 12 4 3 5 17:19 15
7 Sao-Carlense 12 1 1 10 7:36 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 12 7 3 2 15:8 24
2 XV de Jau 12 7 3 2 22:9 24
3 Itapirense 12 6 3 3 17:13 21
4 Independente SP 12 6 1 5 21:11 19
5 Uniao Barbarense 12 4 2 6 18:23 14
6 Jaguariuna 12 2 3 7 14:23 9
7 Brasilis 12 1 3 8 5:25 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 AA Itarare 10 5 4 1 16:3 19
3 Assisense 10 4 4 2 11:6 16
4 Vocem 10 3 4 3 9:7 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 5 3 14:14 11
6 Elosport 10 0 0 10 3:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paulista 12 9 2 1 31:10 29
2 Sao Jose EC 12 6 5 1 22:13 23
3 Amparo SP 12 5 6 1 31:14 21
4 Jacarei FC 12 4 5 3 22:14 17
5 Uniao Mogi 12 4 2 6 18:23 14
6 Manthiqueira 12 2 3 7 7:20 9
7 Atletico Mogi 12 0 1 11 8:45 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 12 7 2 3 20:12 23
2 Uniao Suzano 12 6 4 2 20:16 22
3 Guarulhos 12 6 3 3 15:8 21
4 Mauaense 12 5 5 2 16:8 20
5 Maua FC 12 4 4 4 10:13 16
6 Barcelona SP 12 2 4 6 11:18 10
7 Jabaquara 12 0 2 10 8:25 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)