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Eltersdorf vs Bayreuth Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
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Match Events

26' Event
Gobhardt M.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Schmidt D.
55' Event
Onuigwe K.

AI Match Summary

Bayreuth in this Regionalliga Bayern matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayreuth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Eltersdorf
15%
Draws
51%
Bayreuth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayreuth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bayreuth have won more games recently than Eltersdorf.
  • Model gives Eltersdorf a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bayreuth have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Eltersdorf Clean Sheet 17%
Bayreuth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eltersdorf Bayreuth
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Eltersdorf vs Bayreuth
2:4
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Bayreuth vs Eltersdorf
7:0
Mar 4, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Eltersdorf vs Bayreuth
0:3
Aug 17, 2021 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs Eltersdorf
3:1
Mar 8, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bayreuth vs Eltersdorf
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eltersdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Sommer L. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bayreuth Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidt D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onuigwe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eltersdorf 41 / 100
Bayreuth 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eltersdorf Bayreuth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Eltersdorf scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Bayreuth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Bayreuth's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eltersdorf VS Bayreuth
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eltersdorf

(Home)
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Ansbach
3 : 2
Eltersdorf
15 Sept
Eltersdorf
0 : 2
Vfb Eichstatt
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
29 Aug
Augsburg II
3 : 3
Eltersdorf
Page 1 of 6

Bayreuth

(Away)
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Bayreuth
0 : 2
Unterhaching
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
12 Sept
Ansbach
1 : 0
Bayreuth
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4
Burghausen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 10 8 2 0 23:7 26
2 Memmingen 11 6 3 2 13:7 21
3 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
4 Unterhaching 9 5 3 1 12:7 18
5 Vfb Eichstatt 11 5 3 3 14:15 18
6 Burghausen 11 5 2 4 27:19 17
7 Munich 1860 10 4 5 1 20:13 17
8 Vilzing 10 4 4 2 17:15 16
9 Augsburg II 11 4 3 4 18:23 15
10 Bayern II 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
11 Bayreuth 11 4 1 6 17:18 13
12 Eltersdorf 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 1. FC Schweinfurt 10 3 2 5 15:23 11
14 Nurnberg II 10 3 1 6 18:17 10
15 Furth II 10 3 1 6 14:17 10
16 Ansbach 10 3 1 6 10:21 10
17 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 11 2 3 6 11:22 9
18 TSV Aubstadt 10 2 2 6 14:19 8
19 Landsberg 10 1 4 5 10:16 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)