Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eltersdorf vs Illertissen

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Fischer M.
74' Event
Marx S.
80' Event
Sengul C.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern game between Eltersdorf and Illertissen finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eltersdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Eltersdorf
20%
Draws
51%
Illertissen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Illertissen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Eltersdorf haven't matched Illertissen's recent run of results.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Eltersdorf Clean Sheet 16%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eltersdorf Illertissen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.41 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Eltersdorf vs Illertissen
3:0
May 3, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Eltersdorf
1:2
Oct 22, 2021 Regionalliga Bayern
Eltersdorf vs Illertissen
0:2
May 4, 2013 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Eltersdorf
0:1
Oct 6, 2012 Regionalliga Bayern
Eltersdorf vs Illertissen
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eltersdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischer M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marx S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Illertissen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eltersdorf 30 / 100
Illertissen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eltersdorf Illertissen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eltersdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Eltersdorf scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Illertissen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Eltersdorf stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eltersdorf VS Illertissen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Eltersdorf

(Home)
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Ansbach
3 : 2
Eltersdorf
15 Sept
Eltersdorf
0 : 2
Vfb Eichstatt
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
29 Aug
Augsburg II
3 : 3
Eltersdorf
Page 1 of 6

Illertissen

(Away)
26 Sept
Vilzing
3 : 3
Illertissen
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2
Memmingen
15 Sept
1. FC Schweinfurt
0 : 3
Illertissen
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 10 8 2 0 23:7 26
2 Memmingen 11 6 3 2 13:7 21
3 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
4 Unterhaching 9 5 3 1 12:7 18
5 Vfb Eichstatt 11 5 3 3 14:15 18
6 Burghausen 11 5 2 4 27:19 17
7 Munich 1860 10 4 5 1 20:13 17
8 Vilzing 10 4 4 2 17:15 16
9 Augsburg II 11 4 3 4 18:23 15
10 Bayern II 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
11 Bayreuth 11 4 1 6 17:18 13
12 Eltersdorf 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 1. FC Schweinfurt 10 3 2 5 15:23 11
14 Nurnberg II 10 3 1 6 18:17 10
15 Furth II 10 3 1 6 14:17 10
16 Ansbach 10 3 1 6 10:21 10
17 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 11 2 3 6 11:22 9
18 TSV Aubstadt 10 2 2 6 14:19 8
19 Landsberg 10 1 4 5 10:16 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)