Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026

Ingolstadt II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eltersdorf play Ingolstadt II in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eltersdorf averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Ingolstadt II averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Eltersdorf won 3, Ingolstadt II won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Eltersdorf and 1.38 for Ingolstadt II. This points to a Eltersdorf double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Eltersdorf

15%

Draws

37%

Ingolstadt II

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eltersdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Eltersdorf picked up more points recently compared to Ingolstadt II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Eltersdorf Clean Sheet 17%

Ingolstadt II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Eltersdorf	Ingolstadt II
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	18	15
Draws	2	5
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.72	2.1
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.61
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Eltersdorf vs Ingolstadt II

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

3:2

Oct 5, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Ingolstadt II vs Eltersdorf

Possession: 58% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Nov 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Ingolstadt II vs Eltersdorf

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Aug 14, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Eltersdorf vs Ingolstadt II

Possession: 40% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Mar 16, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Ingolstadt II vs Eltersdorf

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eltersdorf 47 / 100

Ingolstadt II 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Eltersdorf Ingolstadt II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Eltersdorf or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eltersdorf attacking → ← attacking Ingolstadt II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eltersdorf scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Ingolstadt II let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Eltersdorf went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ingolstadt II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 50

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eltersdorf	32	21	2	9	55:30	65
2	Cham	32	17	8	7	58:35	59
3	ASV Neumarkt	32	18	5	9	68:50	59
4	Gebenbach	32	16	5	11	53:47	53
5	Bamberg	32	13	12	7	54:39	51
6	Weiden	32	13	11	8	57:39	50
7	Ingolstadt II	32	14	6	12	64:54	48
8	Fortuna Regensburg	32	12	9	11	66:58	45
9	Regensburg II	32	13	5	14	59:53	44
10	Bayern Hof	32	11	10	11	56:51	43
11	Neudrossenfeld	32	12	5	15	47:54	41
12	TSV Kornburg	32	9	13	10	48:50	40
13	Wurzburger FV	32	10	7	15	46:62	37
14	ATSV Erlangen	32	10	7	15	43:61	37
15	Stadeln	32	11	2	19	42:65	35
16	Coburg	32	9	3	20	44:81	30
17	Grossschwarzenlohe	32	4	8	20	35:66	20